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Venezuela’s indefinite reelection

August 22, 2007
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Not surprisingly, Venezuela’s legislature unanimously approved changes to the constitution that would (among other things) extend the presidential term from six to seven years & allow for unlimited reelection of presidents. Essentially, Hugo Chávez could be president for as long as he wishes (he’s currently been president for almost ten years).

I’m usually skeptical any time a legislature does anything so sweeping by unanimous consent. But that’s a whole other issue. No doubt there will be much debate from pro- & anti-Chávez pundits explaining why this move is/isn’t a threat to democracy. I subscribe to a non-majoritarian view of “pluralist democracy” (as do many political scientists) that suggests that there are no majorities, only a myriad constellation of minorities, and that majoritarian systems tend to create minority tyrannies (for more, see Robert Dahl, A Preface to Democratic Theory). So, yes, I don’t like proposals for “indefinite” reelection (which, btw, are also being considered in Bolivia).

One of the simplest—and rarely mentioned!—criticisms of indefinite reelection is this: Why does the continuation of certain policies require the continuation of a certain person in office? That is, if the Venezuelan people really support Chávez’s “Bolivarian revolution,” shouldn’t there be someone else both capable & ideologically committed to its goals who could step in & continue in Chávez’s footsteps? If not, what does that say about the movement? Similarly, if Chávez refuses to allow others w/in his movement or party to challenge his personal grip on power, what does that say about Chávez’s ambitions?

Yes, in theory democracy should allow voters to keep their leaders for as long as they wish. But we don’t live in a theoretical world; we live in a real one. And we’re well aware that power can corrupt, that majorities can be manipulated through electoral rules or other means, that long tenures in office tend to diminish accountability, and that the advantage of incumbency increases w/ time. It’s for these reasons that many have settled for a weaker form of democracy that relies on representation, political parties, and frequent elections.

A pure majoritarian democracy existed in Athens nearly three thousand years ago. In theory, the people ruled. They gathered thousands at a time to discuss & decide the day’s political issues. But as historians of Athenian democracy tell us (see M. I. Finley, Democracy Ancient & Modern), the reality was that demagogues ruled. And since Athenian democracy meant majority rule w/ no constraints, it frequently ostracized its citizens. In the Greek practice, any citizen could be nominated for ostracism. There was no defense, and no reason was necessary. Citizens would then vote. The most common punishment seems to have been ten years of exile, though it was not uncommon for the punishment to be death. Not surprisingly, citizens often came to regret their decisions soon after. A number of exiled Athenians were recalled; the dead, of course, couldn’t be.

In Athens, demagogues maintained their power largely by appealing to the people’s baser instincts or by offering monetary rewards (this, of course, was simple in a slave-based society). Often ostracism was used merely to expropriate property from political opponents, which could then be distributed to poor citizens. If you think Chávez behaves differently, one should wonder why the constitutional reforms—which will be treated en toto—include a six-hour workday. I’m sure this will become a centerpiece of the government’s referendum campaign. How many voters are likely to vote against a six-hour workday?

Athens, the world’s most ancient democracy was clearly one of its least liberal (and this w/o mentioning its highly restrictive citizenship requirements!). Those who advocate majoritarian visions of democracy should be careful what they wish for. Like the French revolutionaries of 1792, they may come to regret their decisions.

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Comments

Hey Miguel,

Interesting points of view and I do see an academic consistency in your fear of indefinite re-election. However, personally I feel that the will of "the people" has to remain supreme in order for democracy to be considered as such.

Notwithstanding your well structured opinion, the last sentence of the first paragraph expresses an innate bias that Chavez could be president as long as he wishes. No! He can be president as long as the Venezuelan people make the sovereign decision to vote for him in the required percentages.

To question this basic premise of electoral democracy on the basis of incumbency-privileges and other true points such as the corruption of those in power is really a slippery slope, the same that was used to justify the ridiculous electoral college and other elitist, anti-populist measures that in my view diminish true democracy.

Either we trust democracy or we don't, don't you think?

As an aside, do you think FDR would have been a dictator if allowed to run again (if he hadn't died)? Was the democratic system in the US failing at that point or was he just really, really popular?

Posted by Sucker August 23, 2007 5:15 PM

    I see how you view this as a slippery slope argument. So let me be more clear: I don't think that indefinite reelection would necessarily lead to dictatorship, but it does seem to make it more likely.

    But let's get beyond the theoretically supreme will of the people. Yes, in a democracy, "the people" get to decide. But by which means? By simple majority vote? In that case, were Jim Crow laws in the US South "democratic"? Blacks were a minority, and I suspect that the majority of whites in the 1960s South supported segregation.

    The problem w/ the argument that majority will of the people must necessarily always reign supreme ignores that, throughout history, mobs of people have done rather nasty things to minorities (women, gays, ethnic or religious, etc).

    So. No. I don't think that a popular majority is the *ONLY* criterian for a modern liberal democracy.

    Another problem, however, is that the will of the majority can be manipulated. An election doesn't tell us what the majority want in terms of policy, it tells us how they voted on a particular day. And only for those who voted. Many referenda in the US & Switzerland are routinely decided by less than 10% of eligible voters (when was the last time you or your friends voted in a local initiative election?). Say such a ballot is voted on by a majority. That would mean that it's possible for 5%+1 of all eligible voters to make a decision.

    Do you see where we start running into a host of practical problems w/ a blind faith in "the will of the people"?

    A defense of majoritarian democracy usually seems to rest on the assumption that majorities will do no harm. But history has shown that assumption to be a dangerous one to make. That's why people like me prefer liberal representative systems that prevent majorities from abusing their power. Pluralists go a step further, to argue that majorities don't exist in reality, and so preventing "majority tyranny" is really preventing minority tyranny. Which I'm sure most proponents of majoritarian democracy would approve.

    Posted by mcentellas August 23, 2007 5:25 PM

      The other problem often ignored by proponents of indefinite reelection is that incumbency is a tremendous advantage. Presidents have free travel across the country, they can use public funds at relative discretion, etc. So it's difficult to unseat incumbents, regardless of their overall popularity.

      Look at the US. Incumbents rarely lose. In political study after political study, the strongest predictor of winning an election is incumbency (the second, of course, is money).

      Term limits perhaps seem undemocratic. But at the other extreme it also suggests greater faith in the abilities of others to wield power. Arguments against term limits often seem to suggest that governing requires a certain level of "expertise" that others lack. That suggests that some are more qualified to rule than others. Does that mean that mean that proponents of indefinite reelection have no faith in the abilities of common citizens? That seems rather elitist. Or does it imply that the current leader has some sort of special virtues or abilities? That seems like the 1500s argument for divinely ordained monarchs.

      Another problem, of course, is that those who want indefinite reelection tend to be people in power. Why is that?

      Posted by mcentellas August 23, 2007 5:34 PM


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