Being swamped last week, I didn’t post about a number of items related to Bolivia. Apologies. But I wanted to go back and comment on the latest round of monthly opinion polling on Evo’s presidency.
Angus Reid Global Monitor posted the data on 31 October; the story ran in La Razón on 28 October. Evo is up another three points, from 59% in September to 62% in October. What does this mean?
Frankly, it’s a surprising jump, considering the fallout w/ a number of conflicts lately (the airport seizure, conflicts w/ prefects & mayors, and a host of other problems). October was not, on the whole, a smooth month in Bolivia. But the poll also showed a substantial decline in support for the constituent assembly (down to 54%). So, basically, Evo is up; the constituent assembly is down.
But the approval ratings are still highly regionalized. In the cities of La Paz & El Alto, Evo polls at 79% & 89%, respectively. In the cities of Cochabamba & Santa Cruz, Evo polls at 51% & 41%, respectively. The gap between El Alto & Santa Cruz is a substantial 48 points.
