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  • I’m Miguel Centellas, a political science professor at Mount St. Mary’s University. Because of academic interests, I post frequently on Bolivian politics. I also occasionally discuss interesting books, pop culture, and daily life in Baltimore.
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The importance of the regional cleavage

January 22, 2008
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Three new developments highlight the importance of regions (departments) Bolivian politics.

The conflict over whether the regional electoral court of Santa Cruz can verify signatures for an upcoming department-wide autonomy referendum (specifically, a referendum on the recent “autonomic” statute) has been resolved in the region’s favor. The National Electoral Court (CNE) directors met w/ directors of the regional courts (which are not independent, but rather administrative divisions) & decided that regional courts had the competency to proceed—and not just Santa Cruz, but all departments.

The move allows departments (perhaps also lower territorial units?) to run their own elections. This is an interesting development. Historically, Bolivia has only had “national” elections. Until the 1994 Popular Participation Law, Bolivians only voted for the president & the legislature. After 1994, Bolivia was divided into 300+ (the number has expanded to 329 today) municipalities—but the elections all take place on a national schedule, on the same date. [There were municipal elections in major cities prior to 1994. But these governments had little power.]

The other development is the “regionalization” of legislative politics. This has been slowly emerging for some time. While the two main parties (MAS & PODEMOS) won their seats disproportionately across regions (MAS in “Andean” regions & PODEMOS in “lowland” regions), legislators within parties are increasingly divided over region. In the Senate, two MAS senators from Santa Cruz & Chuquisaca “defected” & didn’t vote for the MAS candidate to lead the chamber. Their vote would’ve been irrelevant, since the opposition had the necessary votes (see previous post).

Yesterday, the elections for leadership of the House of Deputies were postponed due to regional cleavages w/in both MAS & PODEMOS. Over the past year, PODEMOS deputies from La Paz have supported the government in opposition to Sucre’s demand to move the capital. Meanwhile, MAS deputies from Chuquisaca have backed their region’s demand. Likewise, MAS deputies from Santa Cruz & Tarija have at times supported their region’s autonomy demand (at other times they’ve not). But this is all indication that region has become a pivotal cleavage in Bolivian politics.

The third, is that Evo has been meeting to negotiate w/ the country’s prefects over the issue of autonomy & its compatibility w/ the new draft constitution. Technically, prefects are subordinate to the president. Despite the 2005 prefecture elections, the president is under no obligation to appoint the electoral winners—and he’s empowered constitutionally to remove them & replace them. As Carlos Hugo Molina has pointed out, the fact that Evo is negotiating w/ prefects suggests that he’s recognizing the prefects’ de facto role as independent political actors, not administrative subordinates. Molina calls this a political “transformation”—I think he may be right.

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Comments

Miguel,

I wonder what it will take to accomplish real change that will establish stability in Bolivia. In Aristotle's The Politics, he discussed the continuous battle between the oligarchy and the masses and that in order to establish stability and prosperity, a statesman would need to rise up that would legislate with an eye toward the interest of the whole, for the common good, for the general welfare. What would need to occur in Bolivia for this to take place? I hoped for a year that Evo might be that one, but he seems to owe too much to the folks from MAS. Thoughts, hopes?

Posted by Mike W. January 28, 2008 6:28 PM

    I'm afraid today's world is much more complex than in Aristotle's time (or Rousseau's, who had a similar idea). So I'm not really sure a single legislator will solve the issue. Instead, I think democracy requires negotiation & compromise. But for that, both sides need to be willing to give up some ground & settle for an un-ideal solution.

    Posted by mcentellas January 28, 2008 10:25 PM

      Prefecto minimiza disenso regional : Espera discusión franca en asamblea

      El Pais online (Tarija), 14feb2008

      No obstante, el prefecto admitió que un tema que generará discusión es la redistribución departamental de los recursos económicos, se verá si el momento de discusión es cuando se elabora el estatuto o se busca otra salida alternativa.

      “O establecer un marco que permita dejar la tranquilidad para todas las provincias, de que el objetivo de la autonomía es redistribuir oportunidades también”, sostuvo al insistir que no ve temas demasiado complicados o conflictivos.

      Consultado de la posición bermejeña del 15 por ciento de regalías y que se analice la otorgación del 45 por ciento al Gran Chaco, Cossio respondió que no hay temores, es la hora de hablar con toda franqueza entre las provincias, se trata de que todos vivan mejor.

      Posted by John February 14, 2008 4:05 PM


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