Boz, who frequently posts poll numbers from across Latin America, has some interesting poll numbers for Peru.
President Alán García seems to have leveled out at support in the low 30s (and in high 30s to low 40s in the Lima area). More surprising still, however, is that concurrent polls show just more than half of Lima & Callao residents approve of former President Alberto Fujimori’s tenure from 1990-2000. The former president (who introduced the term “self-coup” to the world) is currently facing various criminal charges stemming from his semi-authoritarian regime.
To put that in perspective: Bolivia’s Evo Morales is currently polling in the low 50s. Ecuador’s Rafael Correa’s support has been steadily declining, reaching the mid/high 50s. In other words: Alberto Fujimori is today about as popular as elected presidents in neighboring Andean republics. That is a troubling thought.
I think you err in comparing a poll made up largely of limenos, and trying to extrapolate out for Peru in its entirety. What if a national Peruvian poll showed low Fujimori popularity? Just a thought...
Of course. But, what if Fujimori is even more popular in the countryside than in Lima? I can think of at least two potential reasons: 1) he spent a lot of money in rural projects and 2) he brought the Shining Path under heel.
I'm mostly just shocked that after 8 years Fujimori still has that much support in Lima! And since Lima makes up nearly half the total population ... even if he had zero support in the countryside, he'd be polling about 25% nationwide. That's still astonishing.
So even Fujimori is polling in the low 30s nationwide, that puts him at about par w/ Alan García & Bachelet (also polling in the low 30s in Chile). How crazy is that?