It’s the day of the second presidential debate, and already the momentum has shifted back to Obama.
If you’re interested in electoral college math, check out the frequently updated Electoral Votes website. It currently has it scored 349-174-15 in Obama’s favor. This day four years ago, it was 264-243-17 in Bush’s favor. If you click around the site, you can see the data in a number of ways.
Meanwhile, over at techPresident, Obama still has a commanding lead over McCain in Facebook supporters at 1,994,302 to 555,194.
I know there’s still a month to go. And I’m sure every vote is important. But I’m going out on a limb & officially call it for Obama. I’m also going to give a respectable point spread of 303 to 235. So Obama can loose in Ohio, Missouri, Colorado, and Nevada (all currently leaning Democratic), w/ McCain picking up North Carolina (currently tied), and still come out comfortably on top.
To give you a sense of how innevitable this is, McCain currently must pick up North Carolina, all “barely Democratic” states (Ohio, Missouri, Colorado, Nevada), plus Pennsylvania and any of the following (Michigan, Maine, Wisconsin). If he loses Pennsylvania, then he must win both Michigan & Wisconsin (regardless of what happens in Maine).
Perhaps now it’s time to start paying attention to the down-ticket races.
